Lea Tholey vs Hanna Bougouffa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In the evaluation of upcoming tennis matches, detailed statistical comparisons between players can offer insights into potential outcomes. Over the last year, Bougouffa has secured victories in 35% of their matches, contrasting sharply with Tholey's 81.82% win rate. This overall performance provides a foundational prediction that Tholey may have the upper hand in this head-to-head encounter.

Examining recent second serve performance, Bougouffa has won 41.33% of their points, whereas Tholey's success rate is 32.79%. This statistic, which is often a critical factor for predicting match results, slightly favors Bougouffa. However, in return games, Tholey’s statistics reveal a strength with a 55.21% win rate on opponent's second serve points, compared to Bougouffa's 46.67%. Tholey's superior return game is also highlighted by a first serve return success of 40.7%, exceeding Bougouffa's 29.09%.

The capacity to handle breakpoints is another significant aspect of match performance. Bougouffa has saved 55.88% of breakpoints, while Tholey has managed 49.02%. Despite Bougouffa's edge in this area, Tholey exhibits stronger breakpoint conversion, managing to convert 34.88% of opportunities compared to Bougouffa's 17.65%. Such statistics are vital for live match analysis and predicting which player can capitalize on crucial moments.

Surface performance also plays a role in predictions. On hard courts, both players exhibit their best win percentages, with Bougouffa recording a 52% win rate and Tholey attaining 66%. Contrarily, indoor hard courts prove less favorable for both, with Bougouffa at 29% and Tholey at 39%. Interestingly, in deciding sets over the past year, Tholey remains undefeated, whereas Bougouffa has won 67%, indicative of Tholey's resilience in crucial scenarios.

Competition level and opponent quality are significant factors as well. In the past year, Bougouffa mostly competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, winning 50% of these matches. Tholey, on the same circuit, has achieved an impressive 81.82% win rate. Moreover, Tholey faced opponents with an average rank of 51.73, compared to Bougouffa's 376.8, suggesting Tholey's greater experience against higher-ranked players.

Based on these comprehensive analyses of both recent form and career statistics, Tholey emerges as the favorite to triumph in this match, showcasing superior overall performance, return game strength, and resilience under pressure.